Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.031064 0.036063 0.041613 0.048231 0.055911 0.064547 0.075000
2025-12-14 0.022452 0.028763 0.036485 0.046632 0.059630 0.075743 0.097269
2025-12-21 0.017456 0.024099 0.032849 0.045230 0.062328 0.085160 0.118054
2025-12-28 0.014843 0.021786 0.031502 0.046111 0.067572 0.098035 0.144741
2026-01-04 0.012755 0.019735 0.030025 0.046328 0.071589 0.109390 0.170546
2026-01-11 0.011120 0.018032 0.028705 0.046419 0.075205 0.120358 0.196999
2026-01-18 0.009934 0.016812 0.027888 0.047070 0.079622 0.132923 0.227449
2026-01-25 0.009064 0.015956 0.027497 0.048286 0.085008 0.147576 0.263144
2026-02-01 0.007879 0.014388 0.025687 0.046795 0.085495 0.153914 0.285157
2026-02-08 0.007059 0.013342 0.024628 0.046449 0.087890 0.163755 0.314576
2026-02-15 0.006341 0.012382 0.023589 0.045977 0.089932 0.173107 0.344161
2026-02-22 0.005873 0.011830 0.023228 0.046717 0.094329 0.187318 0.384868
2026-03-01 0.005296 0.011002 0.022258 0.046183 0.096237 0.197113 0.418446
2026-03-08 0.004712 0.010086 0.021003 0.044914 0.096492 0.203652 0.446241
2026-03-15 0.004200 0.009252 0.019811 0.043612 0.096491 0.209622 0.473567
2026-03-22 0.003940 0.008925 0.019637 0.044471 0.101252 0.226254 0.526610
2026-03-29 0.003653 0.008502 0.019200 0.044682 0.104583 0.240137 0.575229
2026-04-05 0.003387 0.008089 0.018737 0.044770 0.107632 0.253733 0.624975
2026-04-12 0.003184 0.007801 0.018518 0.045398 0.112023 0.270948 0.685757
2026-04-19 0.003034 0.007619 0.018526 0.046570 0.117875 0.292336 0.759788
2026-04-26 0.002740 0.007045 0.017528 0.045132 0.117051 0.297342 0.792698
2026-05-03 0.002538 0.006678 0.016994 0.044800 0.118999 0.309501 0.845990
2026-05-10 0.002348 0.006320 0.016440 0.044344 0.120567 0.320870 0.898711